Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.559514 1.641281 1.725702 1.819536 1.921107 2.027946 2.149094
2026-02-08 1.378274 1.491372 1.613077 1.754416 1.914845 2.092240 2.304564
2026-02-15 1.266529 1.399189 1.546486 1.723463 1.932078 2.172394 2.473471
2026-02-22 1.193210 1.340494 1.508265 1.715631 1.968051 2.269382 2.662654
2026-03-01 1.125232 1.281159 1.462465 1.691807 1.978544 2.331358 2.808478
2026-03-08 1.046865 1.203816 1.389134 1.627684 1.932107 2.315615 2.849091
2026-03-15 1.006552 1.169428 1.364840 1.621063 1.955270 2.387192 3.007023
2026-03-22 0.995697 1.169811 1.382385 1.666850 2.047106 2.553050 3.305900
2026-03-29 0.966509 1.145444 1.366911 1.668101 2.078716 2.638175 3.496139
2026-04-05 0.944067 1.128245 1.359233 1.678356 2.121952 2.740872 3.719651
2026-04-12 0.916459 1.103023 1.339644 1.670988 2.139386 2.806674 3.891314
2026-04-19 0.887287 1.074495 1.314266 1.654027 2.141545 2.849189 4.028584
2026-04-26 0.850188 1.036145 1.276750 1.621955 2.125163 2.870344 4.146540
2026-05-03 0.807432 0.989136 1.226194 1.569794 2.077241 2.841374 4.180582
2026-05-10 0.777250 0.957810 1.195626 1.544409 2.067401 2.870613 4.317699
2026-05-17 0.755890 0.937458 1.179080 1.538031 2.085375 2.944673 4.542105
2026-05-24 0.731365 0.911845 1.154083 1.517838 2.080404 2.980328 4.699439
2026-05-31 0.696989 0.871635 1.107205 1.463162 2.018237 2.916058 4.659266
2026-06-07 0.680529 0.855568 1.093710 1.457513 2.033154 2.982758 4.881385
2026-06-14 0.679091 0.860178 1.109583 1.496606 2.122044 3.184045 5.402862
2026-06-21 0.666181 0.848201 1.101026 1.497673 2.148284 3.276135 5.709683
2026-06-28 0.656242 0.840052 1.097634 1.506418 2.187603 3.394984 6.093639
2026-07-05 0.642541 0.826087 1.085146 1.500136 2.200679 3.465474 6.378072